A physical device for prediction markets

The prediction market
you feel, together.

ROLR Signal is a pocket-size device that turns solitary trading into a team sport. Touch to take a side, watch hundreds of others move the crowd in real time, and battle rival Houses on who reads the markets best.

12,847 online 5 Houses in play Season 03 · Week 6
Pick your House → See how it works
NOVA
Will BTC hit $65k today?
9
Starts in
NOVA
68
YOU
MARKET 55 · CROWD 71
Back with trade
NOVA
Captain Enzo
“Last push tonight at 18:00 PT against HELIOS. See you there!”
Open in app
NOVA
Vs Obsidian & Helios
Dodger
Helios Obsidian
NOVA +0
Faction points
Get Ready, Together

The conviction field

Touch to take a side.
Feel the crowd.

Every ROLR Signal is a touch screen. Press toward YES or NO on a live market and your lean joins everyone else's, an aggregate that reads back through the ring in real time, separate from the price on the book. When the crowd leans harder than the market, you see the edge before the book moves.

Live market · Macro
Will the Fed cut rates in Q3?
You for: House Nova in the Vanguard Squad
68 YES
You
68
Crowd
71
Market
55
Edge
+16
Touch & drag · the gap is the game
  • ≠
    Sentiment, not a market.An opinion layer that rides on top of real odds. It never changes the market you're actually trading.
  • ↗
    The edge is the divergence.When the crowd is more sure than the book, that gap is where the sharpest calls live.
  • ⊘
    Locked before the bell.Re-dial as often as you like while the market is open. Your call freezes the instant it closes and scores against the odds at the moment you dialled, so no one waits and taps the answer in at the last second.

Houses

Pick a House.
Go to war.

Tie your device to a House and every call you make feeds its rank. Houses don't wager against each other; they compete on who forecasts the markets more accurately. Each House shapes its own look too, its crest, its colours and its device skin, so your whole crew reps one identity on the board. Show up, call it right, climb the board.

House League · Season 03
Live
#HouseAccuracyTurnoutScore
Score = average member accuracy × turnout. A House wins by being sharp and showing up, which is exactly what captains rally their members to do.

The loop

A Rally every day. A Clash every week.
A champion every season.

01Daily

Rally

A featured market drops and every device lights up. Log your call before it locks, re-dial as the crowd moves, and nudge your Squad to show.

02Weekly

Clash

Two Houses, one themed slate of markets, one week. Highest aggregate accuracy takes the win, and it resolves in a single synchronized moment.

03Season

League

Rallies and Clashes stack into the table over the season. The top House takes the crown, a permanent crest, and a members-only drop.

Score & spoils

Call it right. Bank the points.
Spend them on the good stuff.

Every forecast is scored the moment its market settles. Points stack up behind your name and your House, and they buy a lot more than bragging rights.

01Edge

Sharp scores

You're scored on your edge over the market, not on calling yes or no. Beat the market's number in the right direction and you bank points, and the further the crowd still was from the truth when you dialled, the more that foresight is worth.

02Conviction

Skin in the game

Back your read with a real position on the market and the call carries a conviction bonus. Points for being right, extra points for putting something behind it.

03Rewards

Cash it in

Trade points for House merch, limited seasonal drops and cosmetic unlocks for your device and crest. Top the League and the rarest gear is yours alone.

Built so it can't be gamed Cheat-proof

You're graded on your edge over the market, so your best move is simply to dial your honest belief. Every shortcut below scores nothing.

  • ✕
    Copy the market or crowdMatch the number everyone can already see and your edge is zero. Points only come from being right where the field is wrong.
  • ✕
    Call the obvious lateBy the buzzer the market has already moved to the answer, so agreeing with it late wins nothing.
  • ✕
    Slam 100% every timeA confident miss costs more than a confident hit pays, so reckless conviction bleeds points faster than it earns them.
  • ✕
    Edit at the buzzerForecasts lock before the market resolves, and one player is one physical device, so there's no last-second change and no sock-puppet accounts.

The moment

When it resolves,
everyone feels it at once.

The instant a Clash settles, every device in the winning House lights up together: one crest, one colour, one flash of light, across hundreds of rooms in the same second. No feed refresh has ever done that.

3
Resolving

Stop watching the number alone.

ROLR Signal, touch the markets.

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